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Nordic Long-Term Market
Outlook – 2050+

Access independent, bankable long-term price forecasts for the Nordic and Baltic power markets to support PPA negotiations, project valuation, portfolio strategy, and financing decisions.

Our outlook provides independent long-term power price scenarios built for investors, developers, utilities, and energy strategists operating in the Nordics and interconnected markets.

Power Outlook report
StormGeo Storm

Built for commercial and investment decisions

The Nordic power market is entering a period of significant structural change. Demand growth, renewable build-out, flexibility needs, interconnector dynamics, and policy developments are reshaping long-term price formation across the region.

StormGeo’s Nordic Long-Term Market Outlook is designed to help customers understand that uncertainty through transparent, scenario-based analysis rather than a single deterministic view.

  • Support PPA negotiations with transparent long-term price assumptions
  • Strengthen project valuation and investment screening
  • Improve financing cases with a clear and auditable outlook
  • Inform portfolio strategy and internal market assumptions
  • Benchmark long-term views across the Nordic and Baltic power markets

Why StormGeo

Bankable analysis

Our scenarios are used in PPA negotiations and project finance processes for Nordic assets, supporting both sponsors and lenders with a transparent long-term view of future prices.

Proven regional expertise

The outlook is built on in-house fundamental models backed by more than 30 years of Nordic power market experience.

Region-specific fundamentals

Our analysis reflects the market drivers that matter most in the Nordics and Baltics, including hydrology, interconnectors, bidding-zone dynamics, and regional policy frameworks.

Forward-looking assumptions

We continuously track market and regulatory developments so the outlook reflects evolving assumptions around CO2, nuclear, renewables support, grid expansion, and demand growth.

Bankable analysis

Our scenarios are used in PPA negotiations and project finance processes for Nordic assets, supporting both sponsors and lenders with a transparent long-term view of future prices.

Proven regional expertise

The outlook is built on in-house fundamental models backed by more than 30 years of Nordic power market experience.

Region-specific fundamentals

Our analysis reflects the market drivers that matter most in the Nordics and Baltics, including hydrology, interconnectors, bidding-zone dynamics, and regional policy frameworks.

Forward-looking assumptions

We continuously track market and regulatory developments so the outlook reflects evolving assumptions around CO2, nuclear, renewables support, grid expansion, and demand growth.

Power Outlook report collection

What you get

  • Full report with clear documentation of assumptions, changes so you can track updates over time and explain results to investment committees and credit teams.
  • Executive slide deck slide deck that makes it easy to use the outlook and datasets as a basis for internal discussions and decision processes.
  • Access to webinars that provide quick updates on new outlook releases and give you the opportunity to participate in Q&A with our analysts.
  • Full datasets via Excel files and API for seamless integration into your valuation models, risk systems, and planning tools.
  • Interim updates and an ad-hoc scenarios on major market changes
  • Options for custom scenarios or dedicated, exclusive presentations with our analyst team tailored to your portfolio and questions

How the outlook is built

Our long-term outlook is built on a fundamental equilibrium model of the Nordic and Baltic power system, designed to show how asset economics, demand, interconnectors, and policy interact to shape long-term prices. By combining SRMC- and LRMC-based asset modelling with WACC-driven investment logic, the analysis produces transparent, internally consistent scenarios that can be used in valuation, project finance, PPA strategy, and portfolio planning.


The outlook incorporates the market drivers with the greatest impact on long-term price formation, including:

  • Electrification and long-term power demand growth
  • Data centres and AI-driven demand expansion
  • Green hydrogen and green industrial load
  • The future role of onshore wind, offshore wind, and nuclear
  • Battery storage and wider flexibility needs
  • CO2 policy, fuel assumptions, and long-term market signals
  • Interconnector flows and cross-border market influence
  • Regional price formation across Nordic and Baltic bidding zones
Nordic + Northern Europe report cover

"With access to high-quality future energy prices, we are able to confidently advise our clients on good investment decisions for energy solutions on our building projects."

Dib Abdul-Hadid

Department Manager

Power lines
StormGeo Storm

Ready to get full access?

Subscribe to get independent, long-term price scenarios for the Nordic and Baltic power markets and use them to support valuation, financing, PPA strategy, and portfolio decisions.

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