Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast 2026

Outlook for the 2026 Hurricane Season

So far this season, two weak, highly sheared tropical storms, Arthur and Bertha, have developed over the northern Gulf, with neither producing significant impacts offshore or inland.

 Looking ahead, long-range forecast guidance indicates a low potential for tropical development through the first one to two weeks of August.

Some of the factors that StormGeo's Hurricane and Long-Range Forecasters evaluated to determine this forecast include:

• A strong El Niño
• Potentially high wind shear
• Primary analog seasons featuring hurricane development in the northwest Caribbean

Continue reading this forecast for an in-depth analysis of the current signals and long-range patterns. The forecast also looks at major risk areas and how many storms may develop this season.

Only have time for a quick glance?
Check out our Atlantic Hurricane Season Risk Map, which shows risk areas for impact and the predicted number of storms by intensity.

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