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Article - June 30, 2025

Pacific Typhoon Season Forecast 2025

Chris Herbert

Chris Hebert

TropicsWatch Manager, Houston

Typhoon surigae

Outlook for the 2025 Typhoon Season

The 2025 West Pacific typhoon season was very slow to start.  The first named storm of the year did not occur until the 12th of June, when it was given the name Wutip.  Wutip became a typhoon two days later before moving ashore into southern China.  Since then, the West Pacific has been very quiet.  There are currently no significant disturbances in the basin, and no tropical storm is likely to form through the end of June.  The slow start to the season indicates that conditions in the West Pacific are not very favorable for tropical storm development. Whether these unfavorable conditions persist through the season is uncertain.

Some of the factors that StormGeo's Typhoon and Long-Range Forecasters evaluated to determine this forecast include:

  • La Nina/El Nino 
  • European Model Seasonal Forecast
  • Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD)
  • Water Temperatures

Continue reading this forecast for an in-depth analysis of the current signals and long-range patterns. The forecast also looks at major risk areas and how many typhoons may develop this season.

Only have time for a quick glance?
Check out our Pacific Typhoon Season Risk Map, which shows risk areas for impact and the predicted number of storms by intensity.
StormGeo-Typhoon-Outlook-2025

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